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ericinboston
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

...I don't see the use of dedicated DC only machines as the best use of resources, and we should all want our money to go as far as possible. My main workstation consumes $60 in electricity per month, and outputs heat that requires additional cooling from my AC unit. In addition, at the time it was ~$5k to build. Let's pretend this was a DC only machine. I KNOW my primary charity would benefit greatly from, and make very good of those funds every month, in addition to the lump sum.


My take:

1)Your $60/month dedicated machine is either 32+ cores and/or 10 years old in technology. As I (and others) detailed in this thread about a year ago, I have many Mac Mini M2 (8 threads) machines that use about 25watts of power under full load and many Wintel machines (16 threads) from 5 years ago that use 100watts under load. None of my machines are generating $60/month. My entire electric bill goes up about $250/month for running those 20+ machines...which means on average across all my machines, each is costing me about $15 a month. I think you will find my link a very interesting read. Due to a bunch of advantages of the Macs over the Wintels that I detailed on that thread, I'm trying my best to dump the Wintels and switch 100% to Macs.

2)I'm unclear if the charity you mention is the same project/cause as what you are crunching. However, on a personal level, I feel it's better for me to donate $5000 over the course of 1-3 years via WCG (I only crunch MCM) and electricity vs. giving some Cancer organization a check for $5000. Without going off topic too much, I just don't believe the money that is given/raised for Cancer is going to good (or at least efficient) use. I think about the billions and billions and billions of dollars that have been donated over the last 15-20 years, the endless road races, the non-stop sports Public Relations, Breast Cancer Awareness Month and all its publicity, etc. and there's almost nothing to show for it other than some headway here and there on very specific cancer issues. With WCG/MCM, I can see real, concrete results of my computers crunching. Now, the same may be true with MCM that we haven't had any major breakthroughs, but at least I know where my money went.

3)Contrary to what others have mentioned here, AI is not going to solve these DC projects faster or with less computing power. Computing power is computing power. AI (a software application) simply uses large models and databases to, well, be intelligent and find an answer or suggest an answer all by itself. If the math problem 1238934571371 X 485974352981234 is presented to either AI or a traditional calculator app on your personal computer, you're still gonna get a)the same answer and b)the calculator app would be faster because there's no AI acting as a middleman trying to decipher what you are asking, then asking the CPU to do the calculation, then the AI returns the result. Therefore, AI isn't going to make WCG crunching any faster or better. I am not an expect on how WCG and MCM WUs are designed and the math required to process them, but it's math. Math is math. If someone here would like to share in somewhat laymen terms how the WUs are crunched, that would be nice to read.
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[Edit 3 times, last edit by ericinboston at Jan 23, 2025 2:03:23 PM]
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Paul Schlaffer
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

^^^
The point is, Distributed Computing as envisioned turns waste (unused cycles on otherwise used machines), into a positive use. This is how I've always utilized DC, and I've been doing so since before there was a WCG. Once you go beyond that, you are spending money for charitable purposes, and you need to think in practical terms.

Opportunity Cost is a basic principle in economics which also applies to everything else in life. Resources are always limited. When you spend money or time on X, you are giving up the opportunity to do Y.
In your case, you are spending $250 per month, $3,000 per year as a charitable donation to run DC projects, plus hardware and maintenance costs. That, is a substantial amount of money. For an easy to visualize example, let's say you were donating $250 a month to the local animal shelter instead. How much food and supplies would that buy, and how much good would it do? Now let's bring it back to the research here. What could the Jurisica Lab do with an additional $250 a month to further the project? What about a lab conducting hard research? Or a place like St. Jude's? Opportunity cost.

Once you go beyond the original intent of Distributed Computing, utilizing otherwise wasted cycles, then I think you'll accomplish more with direct donations. Something to think about. It's your money, you decide.
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“Where an excess of power prevails, property of no sort is duly respected. No man is safe in his opinions, his person, his faculties, or his possessions.” – James Madison (1792)
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[Edit 3 times, last edit by Paul Schlaffer at Jan 22, 2025 11:31:10 PM]
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ericinboston
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

The point is, Distributed Computing as envisioned turns waste (unused cycles on otherwise used machines), into a positive use. This is how I've always utilized DC, and I've been doing so since before there was a WCG. Once you go beyond that, you are spending money for charitable purposes, and you need to think in practical terms.


True, but I think a lot of people who donated to DC weren't just thinking "hey, I'll let my unused cpu cycles donate to this worthy cause"...many were thinking "hey, I can run this thing 24x7 or as close to that as possible to really help...and maybe I have a few other machines laying around or know someone that has numerous machines that would be willing to help"

In your case, you are spending $250 per month, $3,000 per year as a charitable donation to run DC projects, plus hardware and maintenance costs. That, is a substantial amount of money. For an easy to visualize example, let's say you were donating $250 a month to the local animal shelter instead. How much food and supplies would that buy, and how much good would it do? Now let's bring it back to the research here. What could the Jurisica Lab do with an additional $250 a month to further the project? What about a lab conducting hard research? Or a place like St. Jude's? Opportunity cost.


That is what I was asking...and yes, that $250/month could be substantial or even worthless to some organizations depending on their size. I say this without tooting my horn and simply want to mention it as it's part of your question: my wife and I donate a LOT of money to various organizations every year...everything from the Diaper Bank to homeless shelters to local schools to Girls Who Code to local school scholarships to our Youth And Family Services org. It means a lot for us to give monetarily and these organizations can use the money.

But, cancer research is my #1 issue I want to donate to. I don't feel that it's worth me sending any one or any set of cancer orgs $5000+ a year. I just feel it's a drop in a very large bucket and the bucket never seems to produce results. I could be wrong, but that's how I feel. Again, with the MCM project, I can see actual work I'm doing, results, and what slice of the pie I'm helping. I'm a techie at heart...so if I can get some neat new machines every few years and set them up to run 24x7 crunching for cancer, that makes me happy...and happy from a "let's find a cure" point of view. :)

What's really cool is when people come to our house and see this datacenter of 20+ machines with wires and blinking lights and some fans humming and they ask what it's all about...and after the explanation they go home and at least look up WCG as well as consider that there are lots of ways to "donate" to cancer or other projects.
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by ericinboston at Jan 22, 2025 11:39:21 PM]
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[VENETO] boboviz
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

As much time/energy put into this for the last 2 decades, cant say I feel real good about my investment. sad


I think it's not wested time...
Publications: https://www.boincitaly.org/progetti/pubblicazioni-scientifiche.html
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adriverhoef
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

In this regard: the website totally dedicated to the Africa Rainfall Project: https://africarain.readthedocs.io/en/latest/

Adri
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cliviafreak
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

Also, not every researcher has the funding or project deemed worthy of getting time on government funded supercomputers that have 8+ million cores. We can look at the runtime of something like MCM and sure, there are 950K+ years of cpu time over many years. If they had funding to take 1% of those supercomputer cores for a year they would have 29,200,000 years of runtime. That takes a lot of money, though, and they might still have only a few more publications than they do now... further, they may not be able to interpret the results fast enough to keep up.

I agree, sometimes it seems like a waste, and it could be, but that hypothetical supercomputer usage could be a waste, too. Science is about proving and disproving hypotheses. Disproving is equally important.
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[Edit 2 times, last edit by cliviafreak at Jan 23, 2025 3:45:58 PM]
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fufu
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

3)Contrary to what others have mentioned here, AI is not going to solve these DC projects faster or with less computing power. Computing power is computing power. AI (a software application) simply uses large models and databases to, well, be intelligent and find an answer or suggest an answer all by itself. If the math problem 1238934571371 X 485974352981234 is presented to either AI or a traditional calculator app on your personal computer, you're still gonna get a)the same answer and b)the calculator app would be faster because there's no AI acting as a middleman trying to decipher what you are asking, then asking the CPU to do the calculation, then the AI returns the result. Therefore, AI isn't going to make WCG crunching any faster or better. I am not an expect on how WCG and MCM WUs are designed and the math required to process them, but it's math. Math is math. If someone here would like to share in somewhat laymen terms how the WUs are crunched, that would be nice to read.


I disagree with your post about AI. It certainly speeds up to solve DC projects and we have seen that projects that have withdrawn from DC to go for an AI solution instead.

To keep it simple: A lot of DC projects are working with brute force method. Compare everything with everything or e.g. calculating with a certain algorithm what's the least necessary energy used to fold a protein an so on.
AI recognizes patterns and can exclude a lot of those pathes to get to the solution faster.

A very famous example is Deepmind with Alphafold. In some months after launching Alphafold 2 they folded successfully all known proteins, which was seen as "won't happen during our lifetime" before. And we were exactly doing that with Folding@home and Rosetta@Home. Certainly also with a bit of an another focus (finding the single steps in foldings proteins and what could go wrong / finding new proteins). There was not such a thing before and how most of the proteins fold was unknown until Alphafold came along.
There was a very nice comparison between how proteins were folded before. It took on a an at that time very good NVIDIA gpu one day to fold like 0,0001 nanoseconds of a protein. With the alphafold model they could fold it completely on the same hardware in around 10 minutes. I once read in an article that it speeds up 10.000 - 1.000.000 with Alphafold 2.
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by fufu at Jan 25, 2025 1:20:58 PM]
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MarkH
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

I think it's good to remember that research also tells us what DOESN'T work. How many eons of wet lab chemistry and research are we saving by running these models? Sure we'd like to wake up one day and hear that Disease X has been beaten, but research isn't always a straight line. Remember the hubub about Interferon? Turns out most of it was unsubstantiated, but it was still a point of further research. Remember when anti-virals were still a dream?? On the other hand, after decades of work, and numerous dead ends, it appears Type I diabetes MAY be curable finally. Remember when AIDS was an automatic death sentence?? For all we know our results might one day in the future be the basis of new research that leads to treatments or cures. The Folding@Home Covid "Moon Shot" actually led to a nasal-spray version of the vaccine although I have not heard of it going commercial. We may never know in our time how our donated work benefits all Mankind, but that is no reason to stop crunching. And whatever reasons we crunch are good enough. To turn our back on our work, our piece of the puzzle that we can help solve, whether one work unit at a time or dozens, would be a grave mistake when science and reason are under political attack once again, and not only in the United States. There are times it is frustrating, aggravating, and just plain boring. And I'm not running rows or racks of high-end machines, my current machine dates to 2016. But it shall run for as long it has life, and I remain alive to tend to it. The goals are too important, the need too great, and the pittance I spend to run it too little to give up after 16 years of run time in about 4.25 years, when I ran hardware nobody would think could even run some of the work in the dark early days of Covid. As Winston Churchill once said "Come, let us go forward with our united strength."
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Jiuso
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

I think it's good to remember that research also tells us what DOESN'T work. How many eons of wet lab chemistry and research are we saving by running these models? Sure we'd like to wake up one day and hear that Disease X has been beaten, but research isn't always a straight line. Remember the hubub about Interferon? Turns out most of it was unsubstantiated, but it was still a point of further research. Remember when anti-virals were still a dream?? On the other hand, after decades of work, and numerous dead ends, it appears Type I diabetes MAY be curable finally. Remember when AIDS was an automatic death sentence?? For all we know our results might one day in the future be the basis of new research that leads to treatments or cures. The Folding@Home Covid "Moon Shot" actually led to a nasal-spray version of the vaccine although I have not heard of it going commercial. We may never know in our time how our donated work benefits all Mankind, but that is no reason to stop crunching. And whatever reasons we crunch are good enough. To turn our back on our work, our piece of the puzzle that we can help solve, whether one work unit at a time or dozens, would be a grave mistake when science and reason are under political attack once again, and not only in the United States. There are times it is frustrating, aggravating, and just plain boring. And I'm not running rows or racks of high-end machines, my current machine dates to 2016. But it shall run for as long it has life, and I remain alive to tend to it. The goals are too important, the need too great, and the pittance I spend to run it too little to give up after 16 years of run time in about 4.25 years, when I ran hardware nobody would think could even run some of the work in the dark early days of Covid. As Winston Churchill once said "Come, let us go forward with our united strength."

I think the same! Thanks!
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Falconet
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Re: Losing the DC faith.

I think the nasal spray treatment you are referring to is the one from the Baker Lab, although according to this Rosetta@home post, Rosetta@home was not directly involved in those specific designs.

'Although R@h was not directly used for the work described in the publication (link provided below), R@h was used for designing relevant scaffolds. Additionally, there are currently many similar designs that bind SARS-Cov-2 and related targets that were engineered using R@h.'

According to this page , the COVID Moonshot work has not yet begun clinical trials.
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[Edit 3 times, last edit by Falconet at Jan 27, 2025 1:25:50 PM]
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