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deltavee
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

Twilyth,

One possible explanation for why so many Ripple Labers have left may be related to free trial offers for cloud computing. For instance, Microsoft Azure offers a two week free trial for their cloud servers. Also Amazon EC2 offers a free trial for cloud servers. I know that may Ripple Labers have taken advantage of these, and others, for the WCG Giveaway. I also know that most of them who do so leave as soon as the free trial is over because of the high cost to continue. This is extensively discussed in the Ripple forums.
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twilyth
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

Thanks for pointing that out deltavee, and if that is indeed the case, it would explain a lot. But the fact remains that we don't really know that for sure.

I have only recently begun to participate in the Ripple forums so if you have a link to the discussion you mentioned, I would very much like to review it.

edit: I don't know much about renting cloud machine, but it strikes me as odd that someone would go through the trouble of using a free offer that would only last for some short period of time knowing that they wouldn't be able to continue.

I have nearly a hundred threads running and only see 500-800 XRPs per day. I can't imagine that the people getting free offers are getting anywhere near that sort of access so the number of XRPs they would be getting would be nominal, wouldn't they?
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by twilyth at Feb 9, 2014 3:22:19 PM]
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deltavee
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

I have only recently begun to participate in the Ripple forums so if you have a link to the discussion you mentioned, I would very much like to review it.

I'm not sure this will answer your concerns but here are some of the Ripple discussions concerning cloud computing for the WCG Giveaway.

https://ripple.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=5229
https://ripple.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=5124
https://ripple.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=4935
https://ripple.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=5188
https://ripple.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=4382
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by deltavee at Feb 9, 2014 8:41:12 PM]
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twilyth
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

Deltavee: Thanks very much for those references. I read the first thread all the way through but the others looked more like they were specifically related to finding and executing cloud computing services so I didn't really look much at those.

I could be wrong about the importance of cloud computing on the issue of losing volunteers, but almost everything I read in that thread seemed to be talking about the concerns of speculators and traders in XRPs. So I would consider that a very skewed sample of opinion. For example, look at this quote from near the end of the first thread - a quote which I found to be the rare exception, not the rule:
Are you kidding? My payout has been well above the cost of electricity so far. I have a MacBook Pro laptop at home. The computer earns about 15,000 WCG points per day, or roughly 40 XRP/day at recent payout rates. Those XRP can be converted to about $0.90 USD.

I plugged the computer into my Kill-A-Watt meter and determined that it uses 25 watts of power when crunching WCG with the screen off. That's 0.6 kWh per day. I pay 5-10 cents per kWh in Seattle, making my cost $0.03-0.06 per day.

Thus I'm getting an immediate 15-30x return on my energy costs. I'm not going to get rich on a $0.85 profit every day, but that's not the point. I'm contributing my computing power to some worthy research tasks, it's costing me very little, and I'm being very fairly compensated for it besides.
Personally I think that these are the people we are probably losing, but until someone looks into it, we just don't know.

The payout rate here was upped last month to 1.25M/day over the previous 1M/day. IIRC, that was based on the increase in membership in the RL team. So I think these are the type of people RL is looking for.

They don't want people to just run and buy cloud computing power so it makes sense that they wouldn't want that to be profitable. Why? I feel pretty confident in saying the reason is that they want to have as wide a distribution as possible. Setting the payout to benefit cloud users seems counterproductive if that is the primary goal. If just dumping XRPs were the goal, there are plenty of other ways to accomplish that.

My point is that to lose 2000 users since Jan 1st, there had to be at least 2000 people (or cloud accts) that were using cloud services to crunch. Does that seem realistic? IDK, but again the point is that we need to find out for sure. I think it would be tragic to make that assumption and be wrong - because that would mean that the bulk of the people we are losing are not just speculators but real folks with real machines who want to participate but for whatever reason decide to leave instead.
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[Edit 2 times, last edit by twilyth at Feb 9, 2014 9:26:00 PM]
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deltavee
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

Deltavee: Thanks very much for those references. I read the first thread all the way through but the others looked more like they were specifically related to finding and executing cloud computing services so I didn't really look much at those.

Twilyth: Below are some quotes from four of the threads that were specifically related to finding and executing cloud computing services. They seem to indicate that some are only using the free cloud computing trials and then shutting down.

i don't think the original ec2 users who exploited the wcg beta giveaway are still seriously 'mining'. it's just not worth the risk anymore.

reminder... please be careful remember to shut down each server before you incur too much cost

In Windows Azure, the free trial is disabled when you run out of credits, so you don't have to worry too much about going over your limits. I still shut mine down when I had less than $10 credit remaining, just to be sure.

so meaning EC2 spot request demand is going down? if so wouldn't that mean that people are stopping using EC2? it looks to me that this is gonna be a war of attrition between EC2 users.

I agree that Ripple does seem to not want cloud computing to be profitable for crunchers acquiring xrp. They seem to be seeking a sweet spot to keep the largest number of people interested, and not concentrate all the xrp to just a few users.
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twilyth
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

Thanks again but I did get that from reading the thread I referenced. I don't doubt that there were people who joined just because they thought they could net a profit. My point was that it's hard for me to believe that there were 2000 of them.

Of course my disbelieve doesn't matter and maybe that is the explanation. But that IS a lot of people or at least a lot of cloud accounts. Plus we're talking about threads that are specifically geared to those people trying to make a profit. Do you really think that what we're reading there applies to ALL 2000 users that have been lost? Don't you think that this is something we should be looking into rather than making assumptions?

If it turns out that all of those 2000 people are just speculators trying to earn a buck, then I'll happily concede the point. But I don't see how that's likely or even possible. Plus, even it turns out that you can account for a majority of those folks as being speculators, it certainly can't apply to all of them, can it? So shouldn't we be trying to find out why the rest left?
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by twilyth at Feb 10, 2014 2:38:53 AM]
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Jack007
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

I tell you what I woulda left with the MONTH it took me to get my XRP working.
I did leave in fact after two weeks many hours posts and emails to support.
All these people getting frustrated with the signup process (I bet) far outweighs the EC2 users.
And, I've been involved in LITECOIN mining and poked around some others, and there are some SERIOUSLY desperate miners out there looking to make a buck. The 7950 from AMD is sold out all over the place cuz of all these miners, it's a little CRAZY.
Some people here whine and complain about the nutjobs here,
but like Jeff Foxworthy says comparing his family to others,

'We're dang near royalty'

So to my fellow 'norms' of WCG, raise a glass of your beverage of choice,
pat yourself on the back,
and be SMUG in your relative normalacy.
We are not the chickens scratching away looking for the grain,
(ok, I've been scratching some)
We sit content at our table, and have been willing to share our electricity and computers for free for several years.

In summation, most people with the ripple signups probably thought,
why not kill 2 birds with one stone.
1, helping humanity
2, make some rips
what order they did it for is their business

And when it was too complicated to make it work for them, they left.
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Coleslaw
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

twilyth you also keep saying 2000 users. However, it has been pointed out that it is 2000 accounts. Some of those accounts were suspicious because of the naming scheme used implied some people were creating multiple accounts. Like you also pointed out, without hard proof we wont know. I'm sorry but I don't want someone like WCG giving out my details even if it does quench your curiosity. You mentioned having the IP addresses and such used as a basis. Please don't give mine out. No I didn't do the Ripple giveaway. But, I'm sure there are many who agree.

You also keep waving away many valid explanations. Try merging all of those suggestions together like they would happen in the real world. 2000 Accounts (not users) really isn't all that many. In my teams forums, I see more chatter in the DC section about cryptocurrency than any other DC project. That includes lumping BOINC projects all into one category. I think you are missing how enticing profiting off of cryptocurrency is. So, yes people will use those free services to squeeze a few extra bucks out. Especially when it is a new offering. This is how people learn to maximize or exploit those services.

Also take into consideration if you were one of the people wanting to exploit it. Would you use your main account or tie your name to it? Probably not. You wouldn't want to risk getting banned or your legitimate work getting zeroed out. Create another account....tinker...then cash out and let the account die. Pretty simple really.
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twilyth
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

If you're intend on trying to argue with me Coleslaw, that's fine, but at least try to read what I'm actually saying rather than what you think I'm saying.

No one has to give out personal details about users. I was talking about WCG using information they already have to look into the problem. How it is that you're finding a privacy issue here is beyond me.

And I'm not waving away any possible explanations. If you'd actually read what I posted you would see that.

As for creating and abandoning accounts, that's a legitimate point - except for the fact that the number of people/accts keeps on falling. In addition, there's nothing that been said here that establishes that is the ONLY reason we are losing people/accts.

If for some reason you feel obliged to try to obfuscate the facts, knock yourself out. But I give most of the members here enough credit to see them for themselves. The only issue is whether anyone wants to do anything about it. Clearly WCG doesn't care and clearly neither do you.
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Coleslaw
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Re: Stagnation research and projects over WCG

Since a previous thread was removed from general viewing, some of the comments can't be referred to. So please excuse me if some of the details get murky when you have rolled these concerns to multiple threads. My apologies if any of the statements weren't indeed actually stated exactly or implied. However, please stop the pointing and name calling bullying tactic. My level of caring about the matter was not expressed as you imply pretty heavy.

I could easily see many contributors that are active here making a second account. Not everyone wants fallout from jumping teams especially for monetary gain. That has been a very heated issue between some teams especially at other DC projects.

As far as my concern with giving my info out? That is a statement out of concern not an implication that you specifically asked for. Someone jumping around demanding answers typically follows with asking for proof. I know you didn't ask for these items yourself and I was just cutting to the chase before there was the suggestion by you or anyone else for it.

Did you not wave away the concern of the economy. Though probably not a big contributor to the issue, it may still play a part. I read your statement in regards to it.

I haven't done anything to the facts but point out the possibilities. You just need to come to terms that there are just some facts that you wont have access to. However, if you are worried about facts, then state the facts and not the assumptions. 2000 and rising users....nope. 2000 and rising accounts... yep. That paints a much different picture. Do you not agree?
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