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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Worst Joke of the Christmas Meal last night....


"People keep making these Mayan apocalypse jokes like there's no tomorrow"

d oh

biggrin
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[Dec 21, 2012 7:11:19 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Welcome to the Winter (NH) Summer (SH) Solstice http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solstice

For the vast majority of us the shortest daylight hours of the year

Sunrise here today 8:14am Sunset 4:00pm much worse further north

John O'Groats 9.03am 3:19pm shock


For most of us the Summer is on the way back from today cool
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GeraldRube
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Welcome to the Winter (NH) Summer (SH) Solstice http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solstice

For the vast majority of us the shortest daylight hours of the year

Sunrise here today 8:14am Sunset 4:00pm much worse further north

John O'Groats 9.03am 3:19pm shock


For most of us the Summer is on the way back from today cool

Yes for some reason our weather gets even colder as the days get longer??-- sad Keep up the good work Dave--we are NOT the minority--
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Gerald it's all that residual heat from Summer in the Earths surface (Rocks and Oceans) that takes time to escape while the heat input balance goes negative. Even with more Sunlight from here on into Summer over the next couple of Months that balance is still negative and then the Rocks and Oceans take some serious warming back up again - the built in lag.

It means for the last couple of years that minimum temperature (for the Northern Hemisphere) occurs around the 11th February.

I have no reason to suspect 2013 will be any different smile


The truly over hyped Mayan Apocalypse hasn't materialised....sound familiar? wink

Dave
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by David Autumns at Dec 21, 2012 11:43:35 PM]
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

This years weather station cull

For various reasons, some political, weather stations pack up and cease reporting their weather info.If these dodgy or defunct stations remain in the raw data then comparisons across the years cannot be made. We need to compare apples with apples otherwise any trend claim would be worthless. So each year around this time I do an audit of each station monitored

This year the following weather stations have to be removed

CWGL,CWVV,CWVU,ESNY,KBBF,KBID,KMRF,KMRN,KNFE,KOCW,LFSN,LFSR,OSAP,EGXT,KADH,KAEJ,KGBK,KIPN,KUCP,LFQI,
LLOV,OAFZ

You can see the weather stations data here at NOAA by going to http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/XXXX.html and replacing the XXXX with the 4 letter code above. (for the stations beginning K in the USA you need to visit http://w1.weather.gov/obhistory/XXXX.html and use the same trick)

The most poignant being http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/OSAP.html (it would appear to be OK what is happening in Syria as the World deals out selective salvation sad )

By way of an example of a station that has stopped reporting http://www.theglobalthermometer.com/igraphs/stations/cwgl.png

Some you will see have stopped reporting altogether others you may see reporting today. The ones still reporting will have had a significant outage during 2012 that effectively invalidates any comparison year on year

We are down now to 2542 weather stations reliably reporting 24/7 across 140 Countries

I will remove the Stations above from the 2011/12 data and reprocess the whole record in that what do I do with myself bit between Christmas and New Year.

It's a labour of love to get to the truth.

Dave
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[Edit 3 times, last edit by David Autumns at Dec 24, 2012 9:42:11 AM]
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

2012 The year of the Drought

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-new...ar-of-floods-8431832.html

Thank goodness we made it to Christmas and now that much needed H20 will begin to fall from the sky again.

(back in April 2012 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-17690389)


It's Global Warming that caused the Drought and it's Global Warming that caused the Floods.

The EPA, having their cake and eating it since Gore's Oscar winning "Convenient Tax Gathering Ruse"


The weather always repays its debt (at the moment with Interest)


Dave
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

The December 2012 result is in and the average temperature from 2564 (now 2542) NOAA Weather Stations around the Globe was 4.11C

Jan 2011 1.37C
Feb 2011 2.85C
Mar 2011 6.93C
Apr 2011 12.25C
May 2011 16.16C
Jun 2011 20.45C
Jul 2011 22.83C
Aug 2011 22.19C
Sep 2011 18.72C
Oct 2011 13.50C
Nov 2011 8.32C
Dec 2011 4.78C
Jan 2012 3.26C
Feb 2012 3.84C
Mar 2012 9.71C
Apr 2012 12.45C
May 2012 17.32C
Jun 2012 20.59C
Jul 2012 23.13C
Aug 2012 22.11C
Sep 2012 18.44C
Oct 2012 13.28C
Nov 2012 7.97C
Dec 2012 4.11C

J-D 2011 12.584C
F-J 2012 12.745C
M-F 2012 12.795C
A-M 2012 13.031C
M-A 2012 13.048C
J-M 2012 13.145C
J-J 2012 13.156C
A-J 2012 13.180C
S-A 2012 13.174C
O-S 2012 13.151C
N-O 2012 13.133C
D-N 2012 13.104C
J-D 2012 13.047C

Here it is as a forum friendly sized graph that updates hourly



The graph above is (at this moment in time) the result of 44,772,388 individual temperature measurements taken around the Globe since the beginning of 2011 cool

Note all of the above is preliminary. I'm working through the annual audit at the moment so that we keep comparing apples with apples. If my daily crunching stats are down its because my main cruncher is thinking through weather data instead.
It's currently wearing out a real nice velocirapter hard drive as I type. Makes me appreciate all the more what Kevin and Crew provide for us and the Scientists as the WCG. rose
By the way MySQL is rubbish at "likes" on indexed Date and Times (I feel better now I've shared crying I'm going to reformat all my dates to YYYY-MM-DD HH so I can use = instead)

That's now 2 full years of weather data captured around the Globe

Which just leaves me to say...

Welcome to 2013 hugs

Let's see if we can make it a great year love struck .

Dave
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by David Autumns at Jan 1, 2013 8:20:33 AM]
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK



Have you seen the direction of the current trend with the annual mean temperature of central England?

The Red line...

It's not upwards anymore now is it?

Heading back to normal?

Last years "anomaly" 0.20C

Definitely not trending towards an "alarming" 6C increase by 2100 on account of the atmosphere now containing 0.039281% Carbon Dioxide and alarmingly increasing by 0.0002% each year

Yours

Telling it like it is (Calling a spade a spade wink...and not a shovel)

Dave
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[Edit 2 times, last edit by David Autumns at Jan 3, 2013 10:44:13 PM]
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Our Met Office gilding the lily

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2013/2012-weather-statistics

Remember last year in the UK started with a "drought"

All over our press the cause of our V rainy 2012 (after the dry start) is "Global Warming"

e.g.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/977...ct-more-extreme-rain.html

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-20898729

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/jan/03/2012-uk-second-wettest-year

http://www.getreading.co.uk/news/s/2126528_20...ondwettest_year_on_record


If the increase in rainfall is caused by Global Warming pray tell what caused this ? http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/quality/water/resources/drought/

--

Ever thought it might just be natural variations in our weather which is by its very nature chaotic (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaos_theory)

As someone who isn't getting any younger, in my experience, we have about 18 months of rain following some numpty's declaration of drought in the UK - so it might brighten up towards the back end of this year

Here's hoping praying

Here's a handy graphic collection showing how the rainfall has varied over the UK since 1910

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/977...very-year-since-1910.html

Kind of Wet Wet Dry Dry Wet Dry Wet Dry Wet Dry Wet Wet Dry and so on and on and on and so on wink
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David Autumns
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Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysect...ng-windfalls-say-MPs.html

the madness continues over an essential, for life, trace gas

...and who is paying for the political fiasco?
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