Index  | Recent Threads  | Unanswered Threads  | Who's Active  | Guidelines  | Search
 

Quick Go »
No member browsing this thread
Thread Status: Active
Total posts in this thread: 5561
Posts: 5561   Pages: 557   [ Previous Page | 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 | Next Page ]
[ Jump to Last Post ]
Post new Thread
Author
Previous Thread This topic has been viewed 1147609 times and has 5560 replies Next Thread
retsof
Former Community Advisor
USA
Joined: Jul 31, 2005
Post Count: 6824
Status: Offline
Project Badges:
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Sek is this from the same satellite that had Lake Michigan at 489F?
Was somebody in Chicago burning a book?
----------------------------------------
SUPPORT ADVISOR
Work+GPU i7 8700 12threads
School i7 4770 8threads
Default+GPU Ryzen 7 3700X 16threads
Ryzen 7 3800X 16 threads
Ryzen 9 3900X 24threads
Home i7 3540M 4threads50%
[Sep 15, 2010 2:14:21 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
littlepeaks
Veteran Cruncher
USA
Joined: Apr 28, 2007
Post Count: 748
Status: Offline
Project Badges:
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK


Stephen Hawking asked, "Who created God?"


God is "I am".
[Sep 15, 2010 2:17:58 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Sekerob
Ace Cruncher
Joined: Jul 24, 2005
Post Count: 20043
Status: Offline
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK


Montford again?

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives...tford-delusion/#more-4431

Montford certainly spins a tale of suspense, conflict, and lively action, intertwining conspiracy and covert skullduggery, politics and big money, into a narrative worthy of the best spy thrillers. I'm not qualified to compare Montford's writing skill to that of such a widely-read author as, say, Michael Crichton, but I do know they share this in common: they’re both skilled fiction writers. The only corruption of science in the “hockey stick” is in the minds of McIntyre and Montford.

.. foreword by Lord Turnbull (his name now mentioned twice in a 48 hours). Though he was in government, his voting record on measures on the topic of climate and environment is remarkable, contra... BUT, he has a point there, when the old developed order is pointing finger at the new developing nations:
I especially like the realism in his comments about the exporting of carbon usage to China (or other less developed countries) and then blaming those countries for their dramatic increase. This is an issue that is often overlooked in the discussion of curtailing carbon output in any individual country.

----------------------------------------
WCG Global & Research > Make Proposal Help: Start Here!
Please help to make the Forums an enjoyable experience for All!
[Sep 15, 2010 8:45:39 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Former Member
Cruncher
Joined: May 22, 2018
Post Count: 0
Status: Offline
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

I am working in Maine at the moment--no GW here wink
[Sep 15, 2010 11:34:46 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Sekerob
Ace Cruncher
Joined: Jul 24, 2005
Post Count: 20043
Status: Offline
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

To paraphrase an old saying: The rain in Maine stays mainly in the plain.
----------------------------------------
WCG Global & Research > Make Proposal Help: Start Here!
Please help to make the Forums an enjoyable experience for All!
[Sep 15, 2010 12:30:01 PM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Sekerob
Ace Cruncher
Joined: Jul 24, 2005
Post Count: 20043
Status: Offline
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Not quickly getting discouraged, but after reading this I'll be needing some antidepressants... 20 grammes of pure chocolate should do that... not more...

... So it was inferred that NCDC and JAXA data were disparate (look at the data) and it being misleading to show them in the same chart as JAXA data (the bars for 79-2000 and 2001/2002 are higher than any JAXA recorded year... well, today NCDC reported lower than JAXA data extents. Yes you read that right, so I guess ATs will stick to IJIS.

An unexpected source suggested I ask NSIDC scientist Julienne Stroeve to explain what is going on. I did, and she replied:

We’ve dropped to 4.76 today.

All the old ice that was transported into the Chukchi Sea over the winter is gone and about 50% of the old ice in the Beaufort Sea remains.

Arctic-wide there has been a 60% reduction in ice ages 5+ years from the end of April to the end of August. Atmospheric circulation patterns in summer 2010 were not as favorable to ice loss as in 2007 and 2008, so this suggests that the ice may have been on the thin side.

I haven’t looked into detail on the SSTs, and there is compression towards the pole in the Chukchi that is contributing, but given the continued ice loss this month, which is double that of climatology, and faster than in 2007 and 2009 (but a bit slower than 2008), I’m thinking it’s a combination of warmer SSTs and thin ice that is continuing the current ice loss.

The water is warm — see Captain’s log from the Chukchi Sea: “The water temperature is 7.5 degrees. If we weren’t sailing, it would be a great temperature for a swim!”; “North of Point Hope. Water temperature: 9.0˚C.”

Sometimes it is the wind that helps push the ice together and drive down sea ice extent. This year’s rapid end-of-season extent drop is partly due to some compression, but appears to be driven more by warmer waters and thinner ice, which is not a big surprise — see Study: “It is clear … that the precipitous decline in September sea ice extent in recent years is mainly due to the cumulative loss of multiyear ice.”


Read on a climateprogress. http://climateprogress.org/2010/09/09/julienn...tist-arctic-sea-ice-melt/

So 60% of the remaining 5 years+ old sea ice was goned between April and August. I'm in need of 20 more grammes of pure chocolate.
----------------------------------------
WCG Global & Research > Make Proposal Help: Start Here!
Please help to make the Forums an enjoyable experience for All!
[Sep 15, 2010 3:25:39 PM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
David Autumns
Ace Cruncher
UK
Joined: Nov 16, 2004
Post Count: 11062
Status: Offline
Project Badges:
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Pretty level headed and sane, but the grammar is terrible

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-11322310

are we sure this is really from the BBC Environment Correspondent wink

not quite ready to give up on 2040 or 2050 for a complete melt away but I suppose there's plenty of time still to admit that was a bit extreme too.

At least it confirms what I had thought, saving me the bother of trawling through the csv files. 2010 had the shortest melt season over the satellite record from 1979. The latest start and the earliest stop. That doesn't suggest to me that the Arctic is warmer than it's ever been

Does it to you?

Dave
----------------------------------------

----------------------------------------
[Edit 1 times, last edit by David Autumns at Sep 15, 2010 11:50:38 PM]
[Sep 15, 2010 11:37:22 PM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Sekerob
Ace Cruncher
Joined: Jul 24, 2005
Post Count: 20043
Status: Offline
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

The color ink cartridge went empty, so today in black and white... lowest for 2010, so far: 4,941,094



Latest minimum of a year on JAXA record is/was September 24. Julienne Stroeve is not optimistic on this years proceedings and the 60% loss of the remaining 5+ year old sea ice that was there at end of April.
----------------------------------------
WCG Global & Research > Make Proposal Help: Start Here!
Please help to make the Forums an enjoyable experience for All!
[Sep 16, 2010 5:12:09 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
David Autumns
Ace Cruncher
UK
Joined: Nov 16, 2004
Post Count: 11062
Status: Offline
Project Badges:
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

Sek you've called it out too early

The final daily amount turns up around 17:00 UTC

Give the satellite time to collect the whole dataset before plotting the graph. wink The most recent updates, as you would expect, have been positive.

Nevertheless it's quite clear from the mono graph from JAXA that there is now more, not less, than 2007 and 2008 and that the North Polar Ice Cap is not in the grips of a self perpetuating "death spiral"

Here's another graph to look at

I think this shows that there's nothing extraordinary about the temperatures around the pole - the green line being the average from 1958 to 2002. The blue one is 0C, the red is 2010 so far.

There would appear to be a complete lack of Global Warming, Man Made or otherwise.

Dave
----------------------------------------

[Sep 16, 2010 6:12:37 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
David Autumns
Ace Cruncher
UK
Joined: Nov 16, 2004
Post Count: 11062
Status: Offline
Project Badges:
Reply to this Post  Reply with Quote 
Re: Not sure how much longer they will be able to keep crunching in the UK

What a difference < a year makes wink

I have been reading some of my earliest posts in this thread and I spotted this

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8307272.stm

fast forward to today

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-11322310

The BBC website needs it's very own Winston Smith. One good reason why the Internet is so great
----------------------------------------

[Sep 16, 2010 6:40:22 AM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Posts: 5561   Pages: 557   [ Previous Page | 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 | Next Page ]
[ Jump to Last Post ]
Post new Thread