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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Yes what do you know , hello
Is Saturday and is the 272nd day of the year (273rd in leap years) in the Gregorian calendar. There are 93 days remaining until the end of the year. ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Yes what do you know , hello Is Saturday and is the 272nd day of the year (273rd in leap years) in the Gregorian calendar. There are 93 days remaining until the end of the year. ![]() Your arithmatics pretty good JP but I'm not sure that I want reminding that another year has nearly passed Old 'er' Sage |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Evening all
What's even more amazing about time is it goes faster the older you get. From 10 to 20 seems a lifetime then 60 to 70 disappears before you've been able to look round. Mind you, I liked a quote I saw in the FT today (should add I only get it on Saturday for it's reviews and general interest) from Konrad Lornenz -'Man seems to be the missing link between anthropoid apes and human beings.' I won't start on why I feel that is so relevant in today's world. Have a good bank holiday (funny description really when it meant spending more money than usual). I shan't be going anywhere but, on reflection I never did except when it fell when I was already in France on my annual holiday and so it meant one day's less allocation of leave entitlement. |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Hello everyone
Evening all What's even more amazing about time is it goes faster the older you get. From 10 to 20 seems a lifetime then 60 to 70 disappears before you've been able to look round. There's a scientific explanation of that. From age 1 to 2, your lifespan has double. To double again you need to go from 2 to 4. To double it for a 3rd time you need to go to 8 , then 16 (4th time) , 32 (5), 64 (6) etc. In other words, time may be linear, but personal perception of it isn't! So logically, your are only aged 6! I like the FT at weekends too. ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Hello
Your body wasn’t built to last: a lesson from human mortality rates What do you think are the odds that you will die during the next year? Try to put a number to it — 1 in 100? 1 in 10,000? Whatever it is, it will be twice as large 8 years from now. This startling fact was first noticed by the British actuary Benjamin Gompertz in 1825 and is now called the “Gompertz Law of human mortality.” Your probability of dying during a given year doubles every 8 years. For me, a 25-year-old American, the probability of dying during the next year is a fairly miniscule 0.03% — about 1 in 3,000. When I’m 33 it will be about 1 in 1,500, when I’m 42 it will be about 1 in 750, and so on. By the time I reach age 100 (and I do plan on it) the probability of living to 101 will only be about 50%. This is seriously fast growth — my mortality rate is increasing exponentially with age. And if my mortality rate (the probability of dying during the next year, or during the next second, however you want to phrase it) is rising exponentially, that means that the probability of me surviving to a particular age is falling super-exponentially. Below are some statistics for mortality rates in the United States in 2005, as reported by the US Census Bureau (and displayed by Wolfram Alpha): What about that ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Hello Your body wasn’t built to last: a lesson from human mortality rates What do you think are the odds that you will die during the next year? Try to put a number to it — 1 in 100? 1 in 10,000? Whatever it is, it will be twice as large 8 years from now. This startling fact was first noticed by the British actuary Benjamin Gompertz in 1825 and is now called the “Gompertz Law of human mortality.” Your probability of dying during a given year doubles every 8 years. For me, a 25-year-old American, the probability of dying during the next year is a fairly miniscule 0.03% — about 1 in 3,000. When I’m 33 it will be about 1 in 1,500, when I’m 42 it will be about 1 in 750, and so on. By the time I reach age 100 (and I do plan on it) the probability of living to 101 will only be about 50%. This is seriously fast growth — my mortality rate is increasing exponentially with age. And if my mortality rate (the probability of dying during the next year, or during the next second, however you want to phrase it) is rising exponentially, that means that the probability of me surviving to a particular age is falling super-exponentially. Below are some statistics for mortality rates in the United States in 2005, as reported by the US Census Bureau (and displayed by Wolfram Alpha): What about that ![]() I can't die yet...............I'm supposed to retire in 2011.............and I want my holidays ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Morning all
Still alive So Far So Good Besides who will feed the dog if I pass on? ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Hola, , Hello
Nobody wants you to die John , you crazy mate Btw where are joing on Holdays with this year , to Greece again .. Also who is having birthday soon Ted.. ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Now I'm upset; I don't like change!! ![]() Please don't cry . Yoooooo hooooooo how are you? ![]() |
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