Greetings,

Our estimates are based off the average number of batches loaded into BOINC for the past 30 days. Currently we are averaging 46 batches loaded per day. We also take the total number of batches BOINC estimated to run for the project, currently 5463 for OET1. Then to determine how many days are left, we subtract total number of batches Loaded and Completed from that estimate and divide by average batches loaded per day. As of the other day that was 59 days left of work.

The rate at which batches loads is based on how fast things are being run on the grid as well as how many work units are inside a given batch. Before batch 1929, we were getting batches with 100k work units per batch. These work units were of flexible type which take longer to run. The newer batches are of ridged type and run faster. There are currently only 1k-2k work units packaged in a batch. From these two changes taking place, you can see that the estimate will speed up quickly.

We always reach out and discuss with the researchers how many estimated batches they expect. Currently we do not have an estimated updated number of batches for OET1, thus the estimate appears to be correct of an end date around June 4th.

If the estimated number of batches increases or we get more ridged work units before the end, then this estimate will change again.

Thanks,
-Uplinger

As long as the techs provide the total number of expected batches, you can calculate your own ECD without any help. If the batches aren't distributed consecutively, then it may require a little more tracking on your part and your estimate may be be a little "fuzzier" but it will still be a usable date for planning. As the techs learn of new batches, and assuming they share the information, just modify your ECD appropriately. No problem. If you don't like their date, don't use it.