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I have recently learned the following information from WCG and still believe there is no calculable end date. However I will still attempt to track the progress as it occurs. A big thanks to the WCG staff for making this available. I have decided to leave the original quote in for the time being as it still addresses the question of additional work.Last 30 day average results:486,623
Percentage Complete:Currently listed on the Research page:56%. I have adjusted my figures to an estimated total of 70,000 batches currently.
The average length of a WU is currently running about 4.17 hours, slightly shorter than the last time I posted, but continuing to trend steady at around the 4 to 4.2 hour mark consistently. The average length of a work unit this past week varied between 4.11 and 4.17 hours. This continues to be remarkably steady.
Still have not seen any of the batches from 122278 to 122402. The ovarian units started with 122403 as the lowest number.My latest batch number was 139525 which would give about 158 batches for the week. The batch count for last week was 165.
Production decreased this past week going from about 3.24 million WU's to 3.26 million WU's completed. During this past week the time devoted to MCM1 was just slightly over an average of 220.1 years per day, down from the past week's 220.4.
Originally we had 17,500 batches. My current estimate for the number of batches is 70,000. I have virtually given up trying to track the changes as to when the researchers are adding them. As of today(January 14) we have done 790,507,096 units. This would be about 56.5% of the known work units. Although, now (January 16,) I see on the research page the percentage has gone to 55%, which it had been a while ago. The percentage on the Research page has been fluctuating up and down, which probably reflects the injection of new batches by the scientists. If I get too far out of whack I will re-assess my numbers.
Based on the 30 day running average the current work units should last to about June to July of 2021 the same as last week. When looking this far into the future the crystal ball gets very hazy. This not an end of project projection, just a projection of a probable end of the current (maybe) known work units. I am trying to calculate a couple of different ways to try to get some figures which converge to about the same. At any rate, there should be about 3.5 years left to crunch on this project at the present rate.



Cheers

Thank you for Four Update Sgt.Joe!

I'm wondering, how is it possible that the projected number of years to completion dropped below zero for a considerable amount of months?

I have recently learned the following information from WCG and still believe there is no calculable end date. However I will still attempt to track the progress as it occurs. A big thanks to the WCG staff for making this available. I have decided to leave the original quote in for the time being as it still addresses the question of additional work.Last 30 day average results:460,318
Percentage Complete:Currently listed on the Research page:56%. I have adjusted my figures to an estimated total of 70,000 batches currently.
The average length of a WU is currently running about 4.27 hours, slightly longer than the last time I posted, but continuing to trend steady at around the 4 to 4.2 hour mark consistently. The average length of a work unit this past week varied between 4.10 and 4.27 hours. This continues to be remarkably steady.
Still have not seen any of the batches from 122278 to 122402. The ovarian units started with 122403 as the lowest number.My latest batch number was 139819 which would give about 189 batches for the week. The batch count for last week was 105.
Production increased this past week going from about 2,78 million WU's to 3.18 million WU's completed. During this past week the time devoted to MCM1 was just slightly over an average of 211 years per day, up from the past week's 187.
Originally we had 17,500 batches. My current estimate for the number of batches is 70,000. I have virtually given up trying to track the changes as to when the researchers are adding them. As of today(January 28) we have done 796,406,425 units. This would be about 56.8% of the known work units. The percentage on the Research page (56%)has been fluctuating up and down, which probably reflects the injection of new batches by the scientists, or the slowdown in the amount done by the project. If I get too far out of whack I will re-assess my numbers.
Based on the 30 day running average the current work units should last to about to August of 2021, a little slippage from last week. When looking this far into the future the crystal ball gets very hazy. This not an end of project projection, just a projection of a probable end of the current (maybe) known work units. I am trying to calculate a couple of different ways to try to get some figures which converge to about the same. At any rate, there should be about 3.5 years left to crunch on this project at the present rate.
I have revised the second graph to reflect the change in total work units as of July 16, 2017.This should be a better representation of the potential end of the project, given the present parameters.


Cheers