July 06, 2014 Update
The following figures are based on a total number of work units of 350,000,000 from cubes.

Last 30 day average results: 597,350
Estimated end date using 30 day average: August 05, 2015
Percent Complete: 32.44491%
The average length of a WU is currently running about 3.04 hours.





Cheers

There are several possibilities.
First, you may be correct, they have not updated their research page.
Second, they may have changed the total number of workunits they anticipate having in the project, if they have added more workunits, it will affect the percentage done.
Third, they may be using an anticipated number of hours for the project in their calculations rather than number of workunits. Since the workunit length is highly variable in this project, this would affect the percentage done on a time basis.
Fourth, there may be some other reason of which I have not thought.
If I learn any new information, I will incorporate it into the estimates.
Cheers

5th, the error rate is higher than in the original assumption. Since the percent on the research page has been updating in regular pace since it started showing, think you can from validated batch number some 36 hours ago, assuming there's a 36 hour average lapse, derive how many at quorum 2 were issued against the total showing on the project page as 'validated', which includes more than just valid. E.g. batch 5500 * 2 * 10000 if perfect processing takes place. That's 110 million. But, if the project page shows 115 million, you know the real average distribution is 115m / 55m (quorum 1) = 2.1. My guess is there's actually 2.2 or more needed, to get 1 canonical result for the scientists. The technicians could tell what the current average distribution is, the redundancy rate if you will. Then you would be able to closer emulate the progress.

Lavaflow, good catch. It would be interesting to see what the error and reissue rate is for this project. I do periodically look at my results to see why a WU was reissued and overwhelmingly I see "detached." I have seen very few of anything else since the WU's were "fixed" early in the project. Based only on my own observations the actual "error' rate may be close to negligible. Maybe one of the techs will chime in so we do not need to speculate.
Cheers

I like the speculation! :)

Our estimated completion is based off estimated time remaining. So if we say 100 days left and the project started 100 days ago, it would be at 50%. This is based off how fast batches are loading not completing, thus a 3 week difference in speed. Also, ours is based off batches not total number of work units.

Thanks,
-Uplinger