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PabloMalaga
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End date of the imminent project?

Good morning crunchers, I have calculated the possible completion date of this project based on the pending WUs at http://openzika.ufg.br/experiments/. If you do not add more WU (which I do not know) the project is about to end. My estimate is as follows:

Completion of protection:

Last lot WU received: 286,927
Last expected WU lot: 292,511
Batches to send: 5584
Units per Lot: 1000
WU to send: 5,584,000
WU average per day in the last week: 276,000
Earning Units / WU Mean in last week: 20.23 days

Estimated Completion Date WU: November 19.

If someone in the project can deny this data or communicate that more WU will be added, we would appreciate it.

[Oct 29, 2017 8:25:07 AM]

SekeRob
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

See https://www.worldcommunitygrid.org/api/project?shortName=zika for an officious Estimated End Date (EED), a finger in the air as work gets added to projects, almost without exception.

BTW, there was no 'last 30 days work" alert by the techs, suggesting they know more than what shows on your linked page.

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[Edit 1 times, last edit by SekeRob* at Oct 29, 2017 9:10:23 AM]

[Oct 29, 2017 9:05:35 AM]

PabloMalaga
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

I'm just saying that in 20 days, the WUs of the last lot indicated in http://openzika.ufg.br/experiments/

Your link is wrong

[Oct 29, 2017 9:08:44 AM]

SekeRob
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

We'll know in 20 days wink

[Oct 29, 2017 9:14:43 AM]

KLiK
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

So have I done some calculations, here are the results:
https://www.worldcommunitygrid.org/forums/wcg/viewpostinthread?post=551758

Zika is there till Q3 2020. ;)

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[Oct 29, 2017 10:20:09 AM]

PabloMalaga
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

They will add many more lots, because in http://openzika.ufg.br/experiments/ there are only lots for 20 days ...

I do not give ECD much credibility, it's not the first time the% has nothing to do with reality

[Oct 29, 2017 10:30:03 AM]

PabloMalaga
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

Lots Pending: 4129
Lots per day in the last 7 days: 208

Work pending estimate: 4129/208 = 19.8 days

Expected completion date: November 24, 2017

[Nov 5, 2017 10:19:16 AM]

KLiK
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

Lots Pending: 4129
Lots per day in the last 7 days: 208

Work pending estimate: 4129/208 = 19.8 days

Expected completion date: November 24, 2017

it's not ECD...maybe a pause in project...but for sure it's the end of these experiments, on which other will follow. wink

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[Nov 5, 2017 12:06:58 PM]

SekeRob
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Re: End date of the imminent project?

I'm just saying that in 20 days, the WUs of the last lot indicated in http://openzika.ufg.br/experiments/

Your link is wrong

Works for me, albeit in Vivaldi the page reply is not formatting the xml like Firefox does, but it's still EED: August 27, 2020 (just copied it as reference to see if it changes as time passes, else it indicates it's a dead-plug for WCG till when they'll (the project owners), think to continue the research, thusly it just being another round of adding confused

Format per IE/Edge/Vivaldi
{"project":{"completionDate":null,"estCompletionDate":"2020-08-27T00:00:00","id":121,"name":"OpenZika","overviewUrl":"\/about_us\/viewNewsArticle.do?articleId=480","releaseDate":"2016-05-18T00:00:00","shortName":"zika","statisticsUrl":"\/stat\/viewProject.do?projectShortName=zika","status":"proj_stats.active"}}

Format per Firefox

project	
completionDate	null
estCompletionDate	"2020-08-27T00:00:00"
id	121
name	"OpenZika"
overviewUrl	"/about_us/viewNewsArticle.do?articleId=480"
releaseDate	"2016-05-18T00:00:00"
shortName	"zika"
statisticsUrl	"/stat/viewProject.do?projectShortName=zika"
status	"proj_stats.active"

Meantime, work for batch 288721 is in me cache.

BTW, it's a little bit funny to see 20 days (20.2) projected on Oct.29, and then 20 days (19.8) on November 5. There must have been a serious slowdown cool

. In Earnest, maybe you can do a graph like Sgt.Joe does for MCM, which shows how the EED is a moving target. smile

[Nov 7, 2017 9:33:46 AM]

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