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Thread Status: Active Total posts in this thread: 219
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rilian
Veteran Cruncher Ukraine - we rule! Joined: Jun 17, 2007 Post Count: 1460 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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herflick , please do an update :)
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Sgt.Joe
Ace Cruncher USA Joined: Jul 4, 2006 Post Count: 7846 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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I have done some off the cuff estimates and this is what I have arrived at.
----------------------------------------Current batch: 38735 Percent completed:44.41% Projected number of days left:354 Projected end date:03/14/2014 at the average present rate of the last 4 weeks. Projected end date :04/17/2014 at the average present rate of the last 8 weeks. (Remarkably close to herflick's estimate from March 3, 2013.) I used 05/08/2012 as the first date of the experiment which is not exactly correct, but it is the date the experiment started. I do not know when the first returns came in, nor the amount of overlap with the previous project. This is a very rough estimate. I await herflick's estimate. Cheers
Sgt. Joe
----------------------------------------*Minnesota Crunchers* [Edit 2 times, last edit by Sgt.Joe at Mar 25, 2013 6:35:11 PM] |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
'Ave worked out an automaton [no not The Turk famously]. Look at what http://bit.ly/WCGFAH says. The algo is classified [to protect against redundancy] ;>)
Previously agreed with herflick to call it "Experiment" completion, as the project will likely continue. |
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herflick
Senior Cruncher Joined: Nov 11, 2009 Post Count: 176 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:
Current Batch - 38,713 Days Left - 439 End Date - June 6, 2014 Experiment Completion - 44.23 % *** Above update is based on information from 3/24/2013 *** |
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herflick
Senior Cruncher Joined: Nov 11, 2009 Post Count: 176 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:
----------------------------------------Current Batch - 38,844 Days Left - 424 End Date - May 29, 2014 Experiment Completion - 45.35 % [Edit 1 times, last edit by herflick at Mar 31, 2013 11:40:54 AM] |
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Sgt.Joe
Ace Cruncher USA Joined: Jul 4, 2006 Post Count: 7846 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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I am going to throw my 2 cents worth in and see if over the coming weeks I can come close to the same projection as herflick. This would be my estimate:
----------------------------------------WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks: Current Batch - 38,832 Projected Days Left - 382 Projected End Date - April 15, 2014 Experiment Completion - 45.27 % Herflick has been doing this longer than I have and probably has a better estimate than I do. I just want to see if I can converge to his estimate (eventually). Cheers
Sgt. Joe
----------------------------------------*Minnesota Crunchers* [Edit 1 times, last edit by Sgt.Joe at Mar 31, 2013 4:19:27 PM] |
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Sgt.Joe
Ace Cruncher USA Joined: Jul 4, 2006 Post Count: 7846 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:
----------------------------------------Current Batch - 38,912 Projected Days Left - 358 Projected End Date - March 22, 2014 Experiment Completion - 45.93 % Please herflick do your update. I try to tweak my estimate with an eye on your estimate to see if I can improve mine. If I start to diverge from yours I will need to rethink my methodology. Cheers
Sgt. Joe
*Minnesota Crunchers* |
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rilian
Veteran Cruncher Ukraine - we rule! Joined: Jun 17, 2007 Post Count: 1460 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Sgt.Joe , i like your estimate more ;)
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Sgt.Joe
Ace Cruncher USA Joined: Jul 4, 2006 Post Count: 7846 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:
----------------------------------------Current Batch - 39,103 Projected Days Left - 327 Projected End Date - Feb 19, 2014 Experiment Completion - 47.55 % Still anxiously awaiting herflick's update. Cheers
Sgt. Joe
*Minnesota Crunchers* |
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Sgt.Joe
Ace Cruncher USA Joined: Jul 4, 2006 Post Count: 7846 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:
----------------------------------------Current Batch - 39,257 Projected Days Left - 301 Projected End Date - Feb 15, 2014 Experiment Completion - 48.87 % Still anxiously awaiting herflick's update. Cheers Edit to correct an error
Sgt. Joe
----------------------------------------*Minnesota Crunchers* [Edit 1 times, last edit by Sgt.Joe at Apr 22, 2013 6:51:40 PM] |
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