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rilian
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Re: March 17, 2013 update

herflick , please do an update :)
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Sgt.Joe
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Re: March 25, 2013 update

I have done some off the cuff estimates and this is what I have arrived at.
Current batch: 38735
Percent completed:44.41%
Projected number of days left:354
Projected end date:03/14/2014 at the average present rate of the last 4 weeks.
Projected end date :04/17/2014 at the average present rate of the last 8 weeks. (Remarkably close to herflick's estimate from March 3, 2013.)

I used 05/08/2012 as the first date of the experiment which is not exactly correct, but it is the date the experiment started. I do not know when the first returns came in, nor the amount of overlap with the previous project. This is a very rough estimate. I await herflick's estimate.
Cheers
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Sgt. Joe
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[Edit 2 times, last edit by Sgt.Joe at Mar 25, 2013 6:35:11 PM]
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Re: March 17, 2013 update

'Ave worked out an automaton [no not The Turk famously]. Look at what http://bit.ly/WCGFAH says. The algo is classified [to protect against redundancy] ;>)

Previously agreed with herflick to call it "Experiment" completion, as the project will likely continue.
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herflick
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March 24, 2013 update

WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:

Current Batch - 38,713

Days Left - 439

End Date - June 6, 2014

Experiment Completion - 44.23 %

*** Above update is based on information from 3/24/2013 ***
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herflick
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March 31, 2013 update

WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:

Current Batch - 38,844

Days Left - 424

End Date - May 29, 2014

Experiment Completion - 45.35 %
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by herflick at Mar 31, 2013 11:40:54 AM]
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Sgt.Joe
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Re: March 31, 2013 update

I am going to throw my 2 cents worth in and see if over the coming weeks I can come close to the same projection as herflick. This would be my estimate:
WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:

Current Batch - 38,832

Projected Days Left - 382

Projected End Date - April 15, 2014

Experiment Completion - 45.27 %

Herflick has been doing this longer than I have and probably has a better estimate than I do. I just want to see if I can converge to his estimate (eventually).
Cheers
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Sgt. Joe
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by Sgt.Joe at Mar 31, 2013 4:19:27 PM]
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Sgt.Joe
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Re: April 07, 2013 update

WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:

Current Batch - 38,912

Projected Days Left - 358

Projected End Date - March 22, 2014

Experiment Completion - 45.93 %

Please herflick do your update. I try to tweak my estimate with an eye on your estimate to see if I can improve mine. If I start to diverge from yours I will need to rethink my methodology.
Cheers
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Sgt. Joe
*Minnesota Crunchers*
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rilian
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Re: April 07, 2013 update

Sgt.Joe , i like your estimate more ;)
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[Apr 10, 2013 4:38:18 PM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Sgt.Joe
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Re: April 14, 2013 update

WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:

Current Batch - 39,103

Projected Days Left - 327

Projected End Date - Feb 19, 2014

Experiment Completion - 47.55 %

Still anxiously awaiting herflick's update.

Cheers
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Sgt. Joe
*Minnesota Crunchers*
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Sgt.Joe
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Re: April 21, 2013 update

WEEKLY UPDATE - based on work averaged over the last 8 weeks:

Current Batch - 39,257

Projected Days Left - 301

Projected End Date - Feb 15, 2014

Experiment Completion - 48.87 %

Still anxiously awaiting herflick's update.

Cheers

Edit to correct an error
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Sgt. Joe
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[Edit 1 times, last edit by Sgt.Joe at Apr 22, 2013 6:51:40 PM]
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