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Thread Status: Active Total posts in this thread: 42
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Jack007
Master Cruncher CANADA Joined: Feb 25, 2005 Post Count: 1604 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Interesting how fast they dismantled deep blue from what i remember...
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TimAndHedy
Senior Cruncher Joined: Jan 27, 2009 Post Count: 267 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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The interesting thing to speculate about is whether the algorithms used in Watson can lead to useful software tools in the future. I don't know, but it seems more reasonable to hope for this from Watson than from Deep Blue. For those that are interested. An IBM Research Report. http://domino.watson.ibm.com/library/cyberdig...04A055C/$File/rc24789.pdf |
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damir1978
Senior Cruncher Joined: Apr 16, 2007 Post Count: 397 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Well. It's official. Watson won 1 million $.
----------------------------------------500.000$ will go to WCG! Any transparency on what new capabilities will get WCG from this large amount of money? I'd like to know.... |
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TrustedDragon
Advanced Cruncher USA Joined: Feb 20, 2006 Post Count: 128 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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OK WCG for my birthday I want a new 4 quad desktop to run WCG on!
----------------------------------------Let's see how long I have to wait for this!!! I am hoping some of that money will go toward fixing the HTTP errors!!! P.S. just kidding about the birthday thingy... however that would kool! ![]() |
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Pink Moose
Senior Cruncher Joined: Nov 19, 2010 Post Count: 170 Status: Offline |
Quote "The string of question marks indicated that the system had very low confidence in its response, I.B.M. researchers said, but because it was Final Jeopardy, it was forced to give a response. The machine did not suffer much damage. It had wagered just $947 on its result." End Quote
----------------------------------------So "Watson" didn't screw up on the "Toronto" answer because any Human would have just remained quite. "Watson" did not know the answer but was forced to give an answer anyway which "Watson" knew was wrong due to the multiple question marks along "Watson's" "Toronto????". This is interesting because this tells me that "Watson" is questioning his own response. He was forced to give an answer (Final Jeopardy) and then "Watson" adds question marks at the end of his answer to let everyone know that he thinks that the answer may be wrong. WOW! So if "Watson" wasn't forced to answer, he would have remained quiet and EXTREMELY accurate because "Watson" knew that he did not know the answer! "Artificial Intelligence" is the "now". "Watson" blew me away. [Edit 1 times, last edit by Pink Moose at Feb 18, 2011 4:28:57 PM] |
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TrustedDragon
Advanced Cruncher USA Joined: Feb 20, 2006 Post Count: 128 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Toronto, Kansas (United States) Toronto is the 2nd largest city in Jefferson County, Ohio, United States. Toronto, California (United States) "Watson" did a spectacular job last night on Jeopardy except for the last question when "Watson" answered "Toronto" and most of us ASSUMED that "Watson" blew it big time because the city of Toronto is in Canada and not in the United States BUT I found three cities, so far, that are in the United States, that are in-fact called "Toronto" (I haven't looked very long). Maybe "Watson" wasn't "way off the mark". Some of us are assuming that Toronto is ONLY in Canada. Well, that's WRONG!!!! Big time! Are there any other cities in the United States that are called "Toronto"? Do any of these cities have any Airports and/or named after people? "Watson" did have Chicago as a second choice from what I saw. So "Watson" was on the "correct track". I'm curious as to what information he, (I'm already referring to him as a person..good heavens.), compiled or what-ever, that would make him pick Toronto. Taking into account that "Watson" needs to relate different words together, including phrases, and give an answer is astonishing that he handled most of the questions superbly- "Dead on". Base on what Alex said on the beginning of the next day I don't think he knew there were cities in the U.S. with the same name. On the other hand I noticed during during the game that Watson did not give the full answer and in this case didn't say what state the "Toronto" was in so people just though - Canada. ![]() |
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pirogue
Veteran Cruncher USA Joined: Dec 8, 2008 Post Count: 685 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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The category was U.S. Cities.
----------------------------------------The answer consisted of a city w/ 2 airports. 1 named after a WWII hero and 1 named after a WWII battle. None of the Torontos in the U.S. have 2 airports, let alone 2 named as above. Maybe they didn't load airports into the database. I don't know how it missed that one, but I'd bet the IBMers are looking in to it. |
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TimAndHedy
Senior Cruncher Joined: Jan 27, 2009 Post Count: 267 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Re: I.B.M's "Watson" on Jeopardy tonight was AWESOME The category was U.S. Cities. The answer consisted of a city w/ 2 airports. 1 named after a WWII hero and 1 named after a WWII battle. None of the Torontos in the U.S. have 2 airports, let alone 2 named as above. Maybe they didn't load airports into the database. I don't know how it missed that one, but I'd bet the IBMers are looking in to it. I did not get that either. The explanations I have seen from the team made no sense. I am wondering if it confused U.S. with US, which would mess it up. It looks like Toronto's airports have at least some connection to WW 2 and WW I. I expect a better answer eventually. [Edit 1 times, last edit by TimAndHedy at Feb 19, 2011 4:16:25 AM] |
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Pink Moose
Senior Cruncher Joined: Nov 19, 2010 Post Count: 170 Status: Offline |
I.B.M. explained it this way, and what they said does make sense due to the fact that "Watson" must understand not just language (words) but must be able to interpret the language phrases as well and tie everything together and then weigh it out on "certainty percentages".
----------------------------------------If United States was in the question then "Watson" probably would have said "Chicago". Quote: The way the language was parsed provided an advantage for the humans and a disadvantage for Watson, as well. What US city wasn't in the question. If it had been, Watson would have given US cities much more weight as it searched for the answer. Adding to the confusion for Watson, there are cities named Toronto in the United States and the Toronto in Canada has an American League baseball team. It probably picked up those facts from the written material it has digested. Also, the machine didn't find much evidence to connect either city airport to World War II. (Chicago was a very close second on Watson's list of possible answers.) So this is just one of those situations that's a snap for a reasonably knowledgeable human but a true brain teaser for the machine. The mistake actually encouraged Ferrucci. It's goodness, he said. Watson knew it did not know that right answer with any confidence. Its confidence level was about 30%. So it was right about that. Moreover, Watson has learned how the categories work in Jeopardy! It understands some of the subtleties of the game, and it doesn't make simplistic assumptions. Think about how Watson could be used in medicine, as a diagnostic aid. A patient may describe to a doctor a certain symptom or a high level of pain, which, on the surface, may seem to be an important clue to the cause of the ailment. But Watson may know from looking at a lot of data that that symptom or pain isn't the key piece of evidence, and could alert the doctor to be aware of other factors. End Quote I'm certain that I.B.M. has learned a great deal from the "Toronto" answer but, all in all, "Watson" did do a spectacular job. [Edit 2 times, last edit by Pink Moose at Feb 19, 2011 3:58:50 PM] |
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TimAndHedy
Senior Cruncher Joined: Jan 27, 2009 Post Count: 267 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Quote: The way the language was parsed provided an advantage for the humans and a disadvantage for Watson, as well. What US city wasn't in the question. If it had been, Watson would have given US cities much more weight as it searched for the answer. Adding to the confusion for Watson, there are cities named Toronto in the United States and the Toronto in Canada has an American League baseball team. It probably picked up those facts from the written material it has digested. Also, the machine didn't find much evidence to connect either city airport to World War II. (Chicago was a very close second on Watson's list of possible answers.) So this is just one of those situations that's a snap for a reasonably knowledgeable human but a true brain teaser for the machine. Exactly, their answer does not make sense, at least to me. I understand the underscoring of the US, but the American League baseball team, what's that about? |
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