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Thread Status: Active Total posts in this thread: 37
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johncmacalister2010@gmail.com
Veteran Cruncher Canada Joined: Nov 16, 2010 Post Count: 799 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Given that cheap, readily available clean energy has five easily identifiable primary benefits - reduction of environmental loading with GHGs, the freeing of funds otherwise spent on energy for use in buying food, medicine, funding other research, etc., the preservation of hydrocarbons for use in lubricants, solvents, polymers, medicine, fertilizer, etc., the removal of carbonaceous forms of energy as a reason for war, and the elimination of carbon-centric industries as a primary corrupter of governments (although the latter two might be considered to be the same thing) - I say "Yes, it is worth it. Crunch harder." Hi, ibsteve2u: You may have neglected the biggest benefit of plentiful, cheap, clean energy: the increased prosperity and raised living standards flowing from its availability. Better food production, preservation and distribution, improved sanitation, better health care, etc., etc., etc. all flow from the use of electricity My 2cents worth 4 today. 'bye crunching, crunching, crunching. AMD Ryzen 5 2600 6-core Processor with Windows 11 64 Pro. AMD Ryzen 7 3700X 8-Core Processor with Windows 11 64 Pro (part time) ![]() |
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martin64
Senior Cruncher Germany Joined: May 11, 2009 Post Count: 445 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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My view is that this is a very valid questions. I personally think that the title of the project is misleading, because it suggests that this project would not make sense if it would not lead to cheaper solar energy. But as I understand it, the idea is more to do fundamental research on organic materials that *might* be used to make organic cells a bit cheaper or more efficient. That's why I am working on it.
----------------------------------------When you look at the answers above, all of them are sort of defensive statements without touching the core of the question. Noone has presented a high level system calculation on solar energy cost. Prices for solar modules have dropped dramatically since the start of the CEP project to well below 1 EUR per Wp. That's on mudule level, i.e. including the frames. So the system cost is dominated by the other cost, including support structure, installation, inverters, even cables. To bring down the support structure and installation cost, we would need less weight per Wp, and less size per Wp. In other words: if we can achieve higher solar cell efficiency than today's solar cells, say well above 20%, at comparable prices, this will really reduce the system cost. As far as I know, the efficiency of organic cells is still well below that value. Maybe someone could comment on the theoretical limit of organic cell efficiency? For Si solar cells it is around 28%, if I remember correctly. So still I think the project is worth crunching because it does basic research. But the title should be different, then this very same question would not arise every now and then. Regards, Martin ![]() |
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Hypernova
Master Cruncher Audaces Fortuna Juvat ! Vaud - Switzerland Joined: Dec 16, 2008 Post Count: 1908 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Does that count in the cost of the electricity Hypernova? Prices per kw hour vary greatly across the world. You start running that thing peak time in some places it can start to cost you 25 cents per kw hour. Let's be modest and say with the whole kit and kaboodle 200 watts being used. For 4 years thats around another 1750 dollars. Now add in the heat load. Is this computer being run in a room that needs air conditioning? If so, that 200 watts is essentially heat energy being thrown into the room, which needs to be removed by your AC unit. That costs money too. Yes this is a good cause but if we are going to be throwing around numbers, lets include all of them. Aaron The cost of electricity was not included because as you said it is very variable, and second because I was mentioning the amortization of the investment (fixed costs) only. If you want a complete financial picture then you have to add the electricity costs but also the cost of the the place that your computer uses. ![]() |
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Yarensc
Advanced Cruncher USA Joined: Sep 24, 2011 Post Count: 136 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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I think this project is worth looking at it two ways, choosing to opt into this project in general, and the energy spent on it.
1) most people reading this are probably going to be on WCG or something like it and have, or are considering, choosing to commit some/all of there time to the Clean Energy project. All the time that goes to this project doesn't go to the other projects which WCG offers (obviously). But the problems some of them are trying to solve could be diminished some if there was a cleaner environment. If it gives us insight into better and cheaper solar technology then the environment would be cleaner which would probably lead to less people getting sick and needing medical attention (and bills associated with it). This could be from less air pollution (asthma and the like), or the many problems that could be caused by water/plant life being exposed to all the nastiness of coal mining and refinement. 2) I have an old desktop (duel core 2.2 ghz) that I use a couple time a week, but have on all day (it's kind of loud at night) crunching. It's got a 350 watt PSU in it, lets just say it's always near full load. 12 hours/day * 365 days/year is about 1500Kwh/year. If you average it out it's about 4 cents/Kwh here (Virginia, USA) so that's $50-75 USD per year to run a rig that would be collecting dust or sitting in a dump. This way of doing a research project (distributed/grid computing) is also better because the project sponsors don't have to spend money renting time/buying a supercomputer. In terms of energy, that super computer doesn't have to be constructed, shipped, maintained or cooled. On that last point, having one or two computers running full time at a persons house doesn't generate that much heat in one place. It also made it so that while I was running my laptop 24/7 and desktop during the day I only had to turn the heat on in my dorm room 2 or 3 times this past winter. As a sub point, this work, as martin64 was talking about, is building a public database of the electrical (and other?) properties of millions of compounds which could be used to advance our knowledge of more than just solar cells. I also think I read in one of the 'about this project' documents that after this project is finished (whenever that may be) they might then transition into energy storage which, I think, is in much greater need of advancement and having cheaper storage is a very important part of the overall cost of a solar power system. One the other hand, there are many resources (energy, hardware, manpower) going into this project that could be used elsewhere and in the end organic cells might end up being more expensive (in the sense of pollution) than they give back. That's the best I could come up with for a counter argument, I guess this isn't really the place to find people with good reasons against it though. Sorry if that was a little long winded |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
My view is that this is a very valid questions. I personally think that the title of the project is misleading, because it suggests that this project would not make sense if it would not lead to cheaper solar energy. I believe your perspective is constrained - you might say "framed" - by the current paradigm of crystalline silicon solar cell manufacture. Consider this partial list of polymers:[...stuff related to cost and efficiency....] So still I think the project is worth crunching because it does basic research. But the title should be different, then this very same question would not arise every now and then. Regards, Martin Shellac, amber, natural rubber, cellulose, synthetic rubber, Bakelite, neoprene, nylon, PVC, polystyrene, polyethylene, polypropylene, polyacrylonitrile, PVB, silicone, etc. Rather than a series of interconnected silicon wafers or shavings from a cast silicon block, consider a polymer that you extrude as a continuous ribbon or sheet, embedding whatever wiring components you need during the extrusion process...rather like the electrical conductors in a SCSI cable are insulated now, except in this scenario the distance between the conductors is much greater and the "insulation" between conductors generates electricity when exposed to light.I.e., one potential benefit of this CEP project is weight reduction, simplification of manufacturing, and the ease of application of the polymer. The "solar generation" paradigm will change; rather than "framing" and "connecting" on a square centimeter (subsequently wired and framed into a square meter of solar panel) basis the future paradigm may well be a square kilometer...or greater. One day a truck may pull up, unload what looks like a roll of carpet upon your roof (or whatever), roll it out, hook up a couple of connections, and be gone before the installation crew can intrude upon your round of golf. Or consider another scenario where a crew lays out a wiring matrix and then sprays the solar polymer on...that would be adaptable, indeed, making solar generators of any man-made object presenting a surface to the sun - whether vertical or horizontal. The Clean Energy project is neither trivial pursuit nor merely "basic research"; it may well yield humanity a tomorrow they will otherwise likely never have - barring empirical data demonstrating that humans evolve adaptations to toxic air and water, higher background radiation, and a hotter and more violent climate and atmosphere faster than the planet's other flora and fauna have proven to be capable of, that is. [Edit 1 times, last edit by Former Member at Mar 11, 2012 6:45:31 PM] |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
If it gives us insight into better and cheaper solar technology then the environment would be cleaner which would probably lead to less people getting sick and needing medical attention (and bills associated with it). This could be from less air pollution (asthma and the like), or the many problems that could be caused by water/plant life being exposed to all the nastiness of coal mining and refinement. To extend Yarensc's not at all overly-extended point, consider the Computing for Clean Water project: Now that is an admirable project...but it is an admission of defeat, a pronouncement of anticipated further declines in the quality of life upon planet Earth, and an attempt to merely delay the inevitable consequences of that decline. The truth is we need more clean water in large part because our methods of growing food, disposing of human wastes, manufacturing, and generating power are fouling the water we have or are relocating that water as rainfall patterns shift in response to global warming. The Clean Energy project may give us an opportunity, as Yarensc points out, to stop poisoning that which we cannot do without: The air, the land, and the water. Both directly, by cleaning up power generation, and indirectly, by making power so cheap and abundant that the "expense" of ensuring human survival becomes acceptable even in the eyes of this planet's greediest CEOs and shareholders. Preventive medicine eliminates the need for radical surgery - a fact that causes me to chuckle quite heartily when I learn that someone who insists that the profit drive of Big Carbon and/or Big Nuclear outweighs the survival needs of humanity is *also a rabid anti-smoker or vehemently against ensuring that women have contraception. Odd, that my loading of the air across the street from them with tobacco smoke or a woman's need to delay childbirth until she feels she is financially and emotionally stable is offensive to them while their loading of the planet with its doom is..."just business". (*Note: A duality that I see so very much that I would call it a weirdly common coincidence - were it not quite so revelatory.) |
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martin64
Senior Cruncher Germany Joined: May 11, 2009 Post Count: 445 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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My view is that this is a very valid questions. I personally think that the title of the project is misleading, because it suggests that this project would not make sense if it would not lead to cheaper solar energy. I believe your perspective is constrained - you might say "framed" - by the current paradigm of crystalline silicon solar cell manufacture. [...][...stuff related to cost and efficiency....] So still I think the project is worth crunching because it does basic research. But the title should be different, then this very same question would not arise every now and then. Regards, Martin So why am I "constrained" if I ask the question how organic solar cells could reduce the system cost of solar energy? I still haven't got an answer. You cannot really be serious with your idea of a lorry rolling out a solar carpet - just a little wind, and it's gone. The "stuff" you deleted is what dominates the cost of solar energy. Even if it's light, a solar panel must be mounted and you need a structure to withstand typical weather. And I thought this research was about the solar cells, not the support structure (including frames). Today's Si cells are very thin and therefore light, by the way. So I am still waiting for the convincing argumentation line how organic cells will reduce solar cell system cost. Regards, Martin ![]() |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
You cannot really be serious with your idea of a lorry rolling out a solar carpet - just a little wind, and it's gone. Actually, roof membranes are all the rage these days. Format of said "solar carpet" might beRegards, Martin ![]() (Edit: Made me laugh when I noticed - just now - the "IB" on the box in the picture I had chosen for an example. I assure you that there is no link between the "ib" in my chosen screen name or myself and that corporation; if one existed, their computational resources would also be devoted to CEP2.) [Edit 1 times, last edit by Former Member at Mar 15, 2012 5:49:54 PM] |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Actually, with proper tie-downs and so on, and given cheap enough cells that not angling them based on lattitude is economical, the "solar carpet" idea has merit, IMO. If they are ON the ground, they would be extremely wind-resistant.
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
It is really nice to see how much thought is put into this thread and issue. I wish politicians would activate a comparable amount of brain-matter every once in a while;). Good conversation everybody!
Dear martin64, You are right that cell systems cost is an issue that needs to be addressed in addition to the OPV material cost. However, as mentioned by other people, OPVs offer the potential to solving this problem as well, e.g., via printable, sprayable, coatable, and paintable applications rather than traditional panels. It should also be pointed out, that the primary targets for OPVs are building integrated and ultraportable devices which is somewhat complementary to first generation Si solar cells. A solar carpet is maybe a bit of a simplified idea but not that far-fetched either. Here is one of our favorite concepts for OPVs. http://inhabitat.com/massive-solar-serpent-wi...the-santa-monica-freeway/ |
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