I had a quick look at the global statistics. It seems as though around the first week of March we peaked out with the maximum numbers of results posted and the maximum number of points generated.

Ever since then, there has been a downward trend on both types of data. If someone has all the raw data ( I believe Christine mentioned that), then a quick spread sheet dump of some accumulated data (without details) will help identify the source of the problem (the statistical data on the web site is text so you cannot work with it unless some is clever enough to convert it or patient enough to reenter it). Suggest calculating and putting some trends onto graphs:

1. active new users
2. avrg points generated by new members ( new member can be defined up to one month old)
3. users older than one month that have stopped being active
4. avrg points returned by active users
5. total number of active users


This will give us our “churn” in terms of users who are no longer producing points to allow us to see what is pulling us down. These maybe old users or new users. We need to assess the number of new users that drop off quickly. This is often a problem with mass services - they have an unfulfilled expectation and leave quickly. Since they are new, they have no loyalty to the service and don't try to resolve the problems they encounter.

With all that being said, hats off to the person that writes the scripts to get the data out of the terabyte databases !!!

I would be very cautious about speculating on the actual cause of the change in trend as it terribly difficult to be accurate without getting into the details of the data. Eg. Loosing someone who has been generating a couple of tens of thousands of points and loosing someone who signed up for a week is a totally different problem and needs to be addressed differently.

I can work with someone to analyze the data as the definitions of who is active and who is no longer active is critical to the analysis – I do have expertise in this field – please contact me directly on xxxx@yyyyy.zz

[post edited to remove email address at users request - knreed]

Cool.. That means we should be done around September / October something.. would be great!

I must also admit that I have had to slow my computers down due to
heat

Hi I was thinking about this as I was studying the points per day trend which peaked at ~14,000,000 and we are now running at about 11,000,000 a day.

I thought maybe it's because it's summer and people are out and about taking in the fresh air as these computer things are always much more interesting when it's dark and cold outside and the warm air eminating from your PC is quite comforting against a chilly evening and then I realised.....

This is the World Community Grid and it's only Summer for half the Planet

Now might be the time to publicise the Grid in the Southern Hemisphere



Keep 'em crunching
Dave

We can't forget that some over at Grid.org are also crunching on HPF. That should figure into the calculation. They run the same Rosetta software we do. Plus, it looks like they will be installing a project status side bar. Let's hope we can get one over here too. I left Grid.org for WCG because I think it's more user-friendly for a computer plebeian like myself and I just wanted to work on HPF. I like it here better.