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World Community Grid Forums
Category: Completed Research
Forum: The Clean Energy Project - Phase 2 Forum
Thread: Est on completition date for CEP2 |
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Thread Status: Active Total posts in this thread: 16
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cehunt
Senior Cruncher CANADA Joined: Oct 10, 2011 Post Count: 172 Status: Offline Project Badges: 
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Hi:
I am just curious about if anyone in authority at WCG or Harvard University can give us a calculated guess at when CEP2 will be completed? Will there be a CEP3 project? Clive |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
From what I last heart CEP2 will go on for a long time as new targets are identified on the backs of previous WU's therefore making the process a cycle that churns out good candidates...Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong?
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Visit Research page and extrapolate from start date [June 2010] and percent progress [62%], how long this project is 'Visioned' to last, at this time
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Mamajuanauk
Master Cruncher United Kingdom Joined: Dec 15, 2012 Post Count: 1900 Status: Offline Project Badges: 
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If my maths is correct we have done about 4.5 years completing 62%, this would indicate about 7.26 years of work, so we have about 2.75 years left, that is if the 62% is accurate!
----------------------------------------If everything remains equal, CEP2 may finish around November '17. However, I seem to remember, "new compounds" are being added all the time, so there may not be an end...
Mamajuanauk is the Name! Crunching is the Game!
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cehunt
Senior Cruncher CANADA Joined: Oct 10, 2011 Post Count: 172 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Hi Guys:
Thank you for your calculated guess, Rob. I have invested 18.5 CPU years time in this project as I believe in this project. We need to wean ourselves off fossil fuels so I hope this project will lead to cheaper and more efficient solar panels. Clive |
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cehunt
Senior Cruncher CANADA Joined: Oct 10, 2011 Post Count: 172 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Hi:
Would it too much ask for an update on the amount of the Clean Energy project that has been completed. I have been checking the Research section to see if there has been a recent update. Clive |
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KLiK
Master Cruncher Croatia Joined: Nov 13, 2006 Post Count: 3108 Status: Offline Project Badges: 
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If my maths is correct we have done about 4.5 years completing 62%, this would indicate about 7.26 years of work, so we have about 2.75 years left, that is if the 62% is accurate! If everything remains equal, CEP2 may finish around November '17. However, I seem to remember, "new compounds" are being added all the time, so there may not be an end... also, you have to calculate that the speed of the operations doubles every year in CPUs...so my estimate is just 1,5y! |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
No, you're -assuming-! It could be a calendar projection, as in "we will be experimenting for the next 2.5 years"
----------------------------------------. But, since the research page moved to 70% on or before Feb 26, and since updated linearly [as did the performance chart] we have progressed to 72%. The current xtrapolation runs to feb.2015. [2% in ~45 days].As for "the speed of the operations doubles every year in CPUs", actually Moore predicted every 2 years [but somewhat stalling]. My old faithfull is now in it's 9th year and doing OET. It has not doubled in speed in that near decade ;P [In fact, the computed FPOPS contributed to WCG have been rather submarinish [see right top insert on http://bit.ly/WCGFPY ]. Maybe if CEP2 were compiled with SSE2, as with UGM, we could get 20x speed, but doubt the hard-disk can keep up  [Edit 1 times, last edit by Former Member at Apr 14, 2015 5:35:45 PM] |
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Jim1348
Veteran Cruncher USA Joined: Jul 13, 2009 Post Count: 1066 Status: Offline Project Badges:
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Maybe if CEP2 were compiled with SSE2, as with UGM, we could get 20x speed, but doubt the hard-disk can keep up Good point, and AVX/AVX2 would be even better. It is discouraging to buy new hardware and not get a return on your investment. (I use a ramdisk or write-cache, so I can keep up!). |
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Former Member
Cruncher Joined: May 22, 2018 Post Count: 0 Status: Offline |
Well, hard disk technology is advancing rapidly (newer SSDs, including ones utilizing the PCI-E bus, etc.), so I'd like to see the code optimized to take advantage of newer hardware. And besides, CEP2 is such a demanding project to crunch on anyway (for any usefulness requiring 24/7 crunching to begin with) that I doubt "aggressive" optimizations taking advantage of newer hardware would daunt the CEP2 crunchers much (a bold assumption, I admit, lol).
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